RUB/USD: 92.4 ▼ 1.2% | US Defense Budget: $886B ▲ 3.4% | Russia GDP: $2.1T ▼ 0.8% | Active Sanctions: 14,872 ▲ 6.1% | Brent Crude: $82 ▼ 2.3% | NATO GDP Target: 2.1% ▲ 0.3% | US-Russia Trade: $4.6B ▼ 52% | Nuclear Warheads: 12,121 ▼ 1.4% | Urals Discount: $14 ▲ 8.2% | Arctic Claims: 6 ▲ 0% | RUB/USD: 92.4 ▼ 1.2% | US Defense Budget: $886B ▲ 3.4% | Russia GDP: $2.1T ▼ 0.8% | Active Sanctions: 14,872 ▲ 6.1% | Brent Crude: $82 ▼ 2.3% | NATO GDP Target: 2.1% ▲ 0.3% | US-Russia Trade: $4.6B ▼ 52% | Nuclear Warheads: 12,121 ▼ 1.4% | Urals Discount: $14 ▲ 8.2% | Arctic Claims: 6 ▲ 0% |

Diplomacy & Negotiations

Tracking diplomatic channels, summit outcomes, arms control treaties, and the evolving architecture of US-Russia bilateral engagement from Geneva to the UN Security Council.

The Geneva Channel: Assessing Diplomatic Back-Channels Between Washington and Moscow

Despite public hostility, quiet diplomatic contacts between the US and Russia continue through multiple channels. This assessment maps the current architecture of bilateral communication and evaluates its adequacy for crisis management.

Mar 3, 2026

Prisoner Exchange Diplomacy: Hostage Negotiations as Bilateral Barometer

Prisoner exchanges between the US and Russia have become one of the few areas of productive bilateral engagement. Analyzing the mechanics and implications of this sensitive diplomatic channel.

Feb 27, 2026

Vetoes and Gridlock: US-Russia Dynamics in the UN Security Council

The UN Security Council has become a primary arena for US-Russia confrontation, with veto power wielded on both sides to block resolutions and shape global governance narratives.

Feb 25, 2026

Diplomatic Presence at Minimum: The Embassy Staffing Crisis

US and Russian embassies have been reduced to skeleton operations through reciprocal expulsions. The impact on bilateral communication, consular services, and crisis management capacity is severe.

Feb 20, 2026

After New START: The Future of US-Russia Arms Control

With New START suspended and no successor framework in negotiation, the architecture of US-Russia arms control faces its most uncertain period since the 1960s. Examining pathways to a new framework.

Feb 10, 2026